Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1026.979357 1173.975306 1341.244255 1547.084434 1795.510926 2088.136359 2462.604661
2025-01-19 789.905695 968.470072 1191.436786 1495.385668 1907.089165 2457.773594 3272.315893
2025-01-26 710.739435 911.457097 1177.775242 1566.948551 2138.948812 2979.673467 4372.902728
2025-02-02 644.484027 856.412732 1151.645180 1608.527527 2328.391945 3478.322733 5595.421346
2025-02-09 594.024549 813.155725 1131.248084 1648.521328 2515.459071 4010.361184 7054.931637
2025-02-16 542.234214 760.114618 1087.087770 1640.969760 2618.904686 4421.001848 8442.228868
2025-02-23 512.109238 734.957667 1080.668408 1691.087694 2828.707392 5079.039493 10636.934512
2025-03-02 482.773649 707.194231 1065.643912 1722.451419 3008.429647 5727.218711 13143.641996
2025-03-09 449.967812 670.255812 1030.644195 1711.745089 3102.411510 6218.128993 15519.018511
2025-03-16 416.856362 629.579448 984.601746 1673.257237 3130.701617 6565.911391 17693.245022
2025-03-23 397.431844 609.737387 972.223275 1696.826719 3296.301285 7302.988323 21673.263268
2025-03-30 369.667840 573.365846 926.736317 1648.296137 3289.889100 7589.725282 24253.576755
2025-04-06 343.489083 539.214882 884.799130 1607.446743 3308.775559 8000.939779 27952.367691
2025-04-13 318.534310 505.521502 841.018447 1558.070082 3300.895324 8348.883697 31870.368982
2025-04-20 311.308813 502.490557 854.222977 1632.393478 3623.203788 9875.077363 44025.828582
2025-04-27 301.072019 493.027655 853.859973 1676.496920 3878.861767 11325.950660 58828.454384
2025-05-04 291.419296 483.756236 852.756396 1718.629984 4142.052343 12970.678184 79510.781688
2025-05-11 277.695853 465.708551 832.010196 1710.675447 4256.071424 14096.124021 99528.282217
2025-05-18 270.640054 459.823865 835.750495 1763.563459 4575.925793 16357.267506 141943.595104
2025-05-25 262.317392 450.799493 831.900599 1796.675772 4843.773916 18604.881057 199318.702671
2025-06-01 251.029643 435.102917 812.187354 1785.371544 4957.882816 20163.430870 258798.856602
2025-06-08 238.358620 415.825617 783.010588 1744.744150 4957.786086 21100.114253 315578.413691
2025-06-15 231.436801 407.702846 777.919285 1769.622151 5210.377609 23830.480388 463040.582272